guardian.co.uk,
Julian Borger, diplomatic editor, Wednesday 4 January 2012
The Iranian navy fires a missile in the Strait of Hormuz, which Tehran has threatened to close in the event of oil sanctions. Photograph: Ebrahim Noroozi/AFP/Getty Images |
European governments
have agreed in principle to impose a ban on imports of oil from Iran, a
potentially serious blow to the already unsteady Iranian economy and a
significant escalation in the international pressure on the Tehran government.
Negotiations
on a European oil embargo on Iran have been under way since an EU foreign
ministers meeting last month. On Wednesday night a European diplomat said there
was now a consensus that the ban on crude imports would be applied, but that
there was still debate on the timing and duration of the measures.
"There
is agreement in principle on Iranian oil imports," the diplomat said.
"What is now being discussed is what exceptions there would be for
existing contracts and what kind of review clause there will be."
The formal
agreement on the measures is due to be finalised by the next EU foreign
ministers meeting on 30 January, but the sanctions will probably not take
effect immediately. One diplomat said they could come into force at the same
time as US financial sanctions aimed at international banks financing Iranian
crude oil sales.
Europe is
the second-biggest customer for Iranian crude after China, buying about 450,000
barrels out of a total of 2.6m barrels a day the country exports.
Iran has
shrugged off the threat, saying it can find new customers, but it will almost
certainly have to sell its output at a discount to its remaining and new
buyers.
Tehran has
also warned that the measures would raise tensions in the Middle East, and has
threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz – the narrowest point in the Gulf – to
tanker traffic in response to any oil sanctions.
The Iranian
army commander, Ataollah Salehi, also warned a US aircraft carrier, which had
left the region during Iranian naval exercises, not to return. Salehi added:
"We are not in the habit of warning more than once."
Western
capitals have played down the threats, arguing that closing the Strait of
Hormuz would be suicidal for the Iranian economy, and US naval commanders said
they would continue to patrol the area to ensure the waterway remained open to
commerce.
A European
dismissed the Iranian threats as "bluster" and argued that sanctions
are having an effect in making Tehran rethink its defiance of UN security
council resolutions demanding it suspend enrichment of uranium.
"They
are sabre-rattling, but at the same time they are talking about reopening
engagement on the nuclear file, so it does seem that they are rattled and
sanctions are having an impact," the diplomat said. "We now see how
concretely and on what basis they are going to engage."
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