The Guardian, Giles Tremlett, Tuesday 25 December 2012
A girl receives a Christmas present during a charity toy distribution in one of the poorest neighbourhoods in Lisbon. Photograph: Rafael Marchante/Reuters |
Portugal is
to embark on a sweeping fire-sale of state companies over the coming months,
possibly even privatising state broadcaster RTP, as it bends to the will of the
troika of lenders that bailed it out 20 months ago.
With the
government of prime minister Pedro Passos Coelho hoping to persuade the troika
of the European commission, the European Central Bank and the International
Monetary Fund to treat it more leniently in 2013 by lowering interest rates on
loans, the sell-off of national companies is seen as one way of winning
support.
Airports
operator ANA is expected to be sold this week, with French construction group
Vinci reported to have bid €3bn (£2.4bn). A consortium led by the Zurich
airport operator Flughafen Zurich and Germany's Fraport is thought to be the
other leading bidder.
But finding
suitable buyers for Portuguese state companies is not always easy. Brazilian
businessman Germán Efromovich tried to buy ailing national airline TAP for €36m
last week, but his offer, which reportedly included a further €315m in capital
for the airline, was turned down after the government said his financing was
not solid enough.
The
opposition socialist party, which had accused Passos Coelho's centre-right
government of organising a secret, semi-private sale, welcomed the decision to
postpone the sell-off.
But
Efromovich was expected to bid again for the airline, which is saddled with
€1.2bn of debt.
The troika
has told Portugal to sell €5bn of state companies as part of the deal which saw
it receive a €78bn bailout in May 2011. But it looks set to beat that target
thanks mainly to sell-offs in the electricity sector and in airports.
Successful
sales completed so far include the 21% of utility company Energias de Portugal
taken by China Three Gorges for €2.7bn, and a quarter share in electricity grid
operator REN bought by China State Grid for €387m.
Oil-rich
former colony Angola is one of the countries that Portugal has tried to tap for
investors as it aims to sell off everything from public broadcaster RTP to
parts of the postal service, water utilities, state banks, the rail service and
oil firm Galp.
Angola's
Newshold, owner of Portugal's Sol weekly newspaper, has said it is interested
in bidding for RTP in what would be the most controversial privatisation of
all.
Under the
bailout plans, Portugal is due to return to bond markets in 2013. Its borrowing
costs have tumbled in recent months, with 10-year bond yields finally falling
back to pre-bailout levels of below 7% shortly before Christmas. A successful
return to the markets would be seen as a sign that the euro crisis was finally
being solved.
Passos
Coelho's government hopes that the troika, which recently eased lending
conditions to Greece, might do the same with Portugal – lowering interest
payments and making it easier to cut the budget deficit. Portugal's debt is
expected to reach 120% of GDP this year and it currently pays 3.6% interest on
troika loans.
Germany has
already said it opposes a softening of the bailout loan terms, with its finance
minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, saying that would look as though Portugal was
unable to meet targets. "It would be a devastating signal and I would
really advise them not to pursue this point any further," he said.
Portugal's
economy shrank by 3% this year and the country has lost almost 6% of GDP since
the credit crunch of 2007.
Large
demonstrations in September forced the government into a U-turn over plans to
raise social security contributions. The government withdrew the measures, but
instead introduced huge income tax hikes, adding 3% to average tax rates.
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